Two-stage permutation tests for determining homogeneity within a spatial cluster     

Qiliang Liu  Wenkai Liu  Min Deng  Yaolin Liu 《International journal of geographical information science》2019,33(9):1718-1738

The discovery of spatial clusters formed by proximal spatial units with similar non-spatial attribute values plays an important role in spatial data analysis. Although several spatial contiguity-constrained clustering methods are currently available, almost all of them discover clusters in a geographical dataset, even though the dataset has no natural clustering structure. Statistically evaluating the significance of the degree of homogeneity within a single spatial cluster is difficult. To overcome this limitation, this study develops a permutation test approach Specifically, the homogeneity of a spatial cluster is measured based on the local variance and cluster member permutation, and two-stage permutation tests are developed to determine the significance of the degree of homogeneity within each spatial cluster. The proposed permutation tests can be integrated into the existing spatial clustering algorithms to detect homogeneous spatial clusters. The proposed tests are compared with four existing tests (i.e., Park’s test, the contiguity-constrained nonparametric analysis of variance (COCOPAN) method, spatial scan statistic, and q-statistic) using two simulated and two meteorological datasets. The comparison shows that the proposed two-stage permutation tests are more effective to identify homogeneous spatial clusters and to determine homogeneous clustering structures in practical applications.  相似文献   

海表面温度时空变异特征及对验证误差影响     

蒋锦刚  徐曜  聂晨晖  潘骁骏  周斌 《遥感学报》2019,23(2):336-348

海洋要素的变化存在明显的区域性和季节性的变化特性,本文选择海洋要素中最为突出的海表面温度(SST)要素作为主要分析参数,设计时空变异参数的计算指标,分析时空变异对验证误差影响的关系,通过研究及试验的数据精度验证,证明了时空变异是造成误差的直接原因之一。强烈的时空属性变异,在验证过程中会引入很大的验证误差,处于不同变异等级区划的数据,其验证结果相对误差可达13.08%,变异越剧烈的区域,精度验证效果越差,验证误差就越大,这些误差并非完全是遥感产品的误差,验证结果不具有代表性,不能真实的反映遥感产品的误差特征。对于SST等海洋遥感产品验证时,需要考虑时空变异对验证误差的影响和贡献,合理选择验证试验区域、代表性的评价数据集和科学的评价方法。  相似文献   

中国区域MuSyQ叶面积指数产品验证与分析     

马培培  李静  柳钦火  何彬彬  赵静 《遥感学报》2019,23(6):1232-1252

对多源遥感数据协同生产的2010年—2015年中国区域1 km空间分辨率5天合成的MuSyQ（Multi-source data Synergized Quantitative remote sensing production system）叶面积指数LAI产品进行验证。参考现有的LAI产品（MODIS c5，GLASS LAI）和中国生态系统研究网络部分农田和森林站点可用的LAI地面测量数据，从时空连续性、时空一致性、精度和准确性等方面对中国区域的MuSyQ LAI产品进行定性和定量分析与评价。结果表明：（1） MuSyQ LAI产品在保证精度优于MODIS产品的情况下，时间分辨率和时空连续性均有提高。MuSyQ LAI与其他LAI产品（MODIS c5，GLASS LAI）在整体上有很好的一致性（RMSE=1.0，RMSE=0.81），但对常绿阔叶林高值处的描述不稳定；（2） 与LAI地面测量数据相比，MuSyQ LAI产品与地面参考图对比结果较好（最高相关性（R²=0.54）和较低总体误差（RMSE=0.96）），其在阔叶作物生长季高值处有些许低估且在某些阔叶林站点有些高估。整体上，MuSyQ LAI产品呈现出较高的精度，可靠的空间分布和连续稳定的时间分布，且对森林LAI的描述具有更可靠的动态范围。  相似文献   

WOFOST模型对河南省冬小麦模拟的适用性分析          下载免费PDF全文

张弘  刘伟昌  李树岩 《气象与环境科学》2019,42(1):34-40

为进一步研究WOFOST模型在河南省冬麦区的适用性,以河南省30个农业气象观测站1991—2014年冬小麦观测资料、历史气象资料和土壤资料为依据,对WOFOST模型进行逐站调参和验证,分别建立了30个站的冬小麦模型参数。其中1991—2010年为模型调参年份,2011—2014年为模型验证年份。各站开花期和成熟期调参模拟的归一化均方根误差NRMSE分别小于5%和3%,验证误差分别为3.7%和2.9%。除潢川和固始外,模型对其余各站产量模拟的归一化均方根误差NRMSE全省各站均小于20.0%,验证误差全省平均为15.2%,大部分站点观测值和模拟值相关系数r通过了显著检验。利用调参后的模型模拟2011—2014年冬小麦生长动态变化可知,模拟地上部总干物重与实测单株干物重、模拟LAI与单株叶面积有较一致的变化趋势,拟合度较高。因此,WOFOST模型对河南省冬小麦主要发育阶段、产量及干物质积累模拟能力较强,具有良好的应用前景。  相似文献   

Comparing future patterns of energy system change in 2 °C scenarios with historically observed rates of change     

《Global Environmental Change》2015

This paper systematically compares modeled rates of change provided by global integrated assessment models aiming for the 2 °C objective to historically observed rates of change. Such a comparison can provide insights into the difficulty of achieving such stringent climate stabilization scenarios. The analysis focuses specifically on the rates of change for technology expansion and diffusion, emissions and energy supply investments. The associated indicators vary in terms of system focus (technology-specific or energy system wide), temporal scale (timescale or lifetime), spatial scale (regional or global) and normalization (accounting for entire system growth or not). Although none of the indicators provide conclusive insights as to the achievability of scenarios, this study finds that indicators that look into absolute change remain within the range of historical growth frontiers for the next decade, but increase to unprecedented levels before mid-century. Indicators that take into account or normalize for overall system growth find future change to be broadly within historical ranges. This is particularly the case for monetary-based normalization metrics like GDP compared to energy-based normalization metrics like primary energy. By applying a diverse set of indicators alternative, complementary insights into how scenarios compare with historical observations are acquired but they do not provide further insights on the possibility of achieving rates of change that are beyond current day practice.  相似文献   

北斗混合星座分层约束下的精密定轨方法     

房亚男  朱俊  李杰  王冲  王家松  张少愚 《测绘学报》2021,50(4):466-474

针对北斗导航卫星系统首创的GEO+IGSO+MEO混合星座设计,本文研究了根据不同星座,采取不同约束条件和数据处理策略的北斗卫星精密定轨方法,提出了一种针对北斗系统混合星座的分层约束精密定轨方案。该方案首先将北斗卫星分为非GEO(IGSO/MEO)和GEO两部分进行解算,利用GPS解算的公共参数对北斗IGSO/MEO精密定轨形成有效约束,然后固定GPS和北斗IGSO/MEO解算结果,最后单独对北斗GEO卫星进行强约束下的轨道解算。利用实测数据进行了精密定轨试验,试验结果表明:采用本文提出的方法,北斗GEO卫星和非GEO卫星三维重叠弧段轨道精度分别为0.688 m和0.042 m,比传统方法分别提高了54.2%和72.4%。另外,采用激光测距检核和测站坐标静态精密单点定位的方法对轨道精度进行了验证,激光检核精度提高了44.3%,测站坐标在水平和高程方向上精度分别平均提升了21.5%和20.7%。  相似文献   

近岸波生流运动三维数值模拟及验证   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3       下载免费PDF全文

解鸣晓  张玮 《水科学进展》2011,22(3):391-399

开发建立了近岸波生流运动三维数值计算模式。模式中,引入了三维时均剩余动量、破波表面水滚、波浪水平与垂向紊动作为主要驱动力,同时考虑了波流共同作用的底部剪切力。推导了可综合反映底坡、能量传递率和密度影响的水滚能量传输方程;将Larson-Kraus的二维波浪水平紊动系数表达式拓展至三维。采用大量实测数据和文献资料测试验证了所建模式,表明所建模式可有效模拟波浪增减水、底部离岸流、沿岸流、裂流、堤后环流等不同维度的波生流现象。此外,研究也表明破波水滚效应可解释波生流峰值向岸推移的物理现象,从而在模拟中不能忽略;破波带内沿岸流速垂向较为均匀的现象与波浪附加垂向紊动有关。  相似文献   

Validation of Land Surface Temperature Derived from 37-GHz AMSR-E over Northern China          下载免费PDF全文

ZHANG An-Zhi  JIA Gen-Suo  WANG He-Song  ZHAO Tian-Bao 《大气和海洋科学快报》2011,4(5):257-263

A validation study of land surface temperature (LST) obtained from the Ka band (37 GHz) vertically polarized brightness temperature over northern China is presented.The remotely sensed LST derived jointly by the Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam and the NASA Goddard Space Flight Center (VUA-NASA) from the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer-Earth Observing System (AMSR-E) were compared to the daily in-situ top soil temperature/infrared surface temperature observations from eleven/three Enhanced Coordinated Observation stations in arid and semi-arid regions of northern China.The VUA-NASA LST from the descending path exhibited a stronger correspondence to the in-situ infrared surface temperature than soil temperature observations,whereas correlations (R 2) of the latter ranged from 0.41 to 0.86.Meanwhile,the ascending overpass LST was generally warmer than the in-situ soil temperature observations at all stations,and the correlation (R 2) was between 0.07 and 0.72.Furthermore,the correlation of the descending path was generally greater than that of the ascending path at the same station.The descending path VUA-NASA LST was sensitive to precipitation and presented good agreement with ground temperature dynamics.The analyses demonstrated that the descending overpass LST was reliable to reflect reasonable patterns of temperature dynamics for land surface temperature in the region.  相似文献   

基于系留气艇平台的红外辐射传输算法实验验证   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

章文星  吕达仁  霍娟  王勇  孙宝来  李立群 《应用气象学报》2011,22(6):654-662

中国科学院大气物理研究所中层大气和全球环境探测重点实验室 (LAGEO) 建立了以系留气艇为平台的综合探测系统。通过气艇在大气边界层上升、下降过程获得不同高度的气象参数和同时的辐射参数。以气象参数为输入,应用辐射传输模式 (MODTRAN4.0) 获得模式辐射输出,将其与实测辐射值作对比,验证MODTRAN4.0模式的准确性,为有关目标识别与遥感提供基础。2006年8月在中国科学院大气物理研究所香河综合观测站利用系留气艇平台进行了验证实验,并对热红外波段的模式对比结果进行分析。结果表明:所建实验系统具备进行模式验证的能力,在热红外波段,MODTRAN4.0模式输出结果与实测辐射亮度之间的相对误差的均方差在边界层大气条件下小于3%。  相似文献   

Simulating urban land use change by incorporating an autologistic regression model into a CLUE-S model   总被引：7，自引：4，他引：3  

JIANG Weiguo  CHEN Zheng  LEI Xuan  JIA Kai  WU Yongfeng 《地理学报(英文版)》2015,25(7)

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